Prediction market analysis.

A market where contracts pay out on a real-world outcome: $1 if it happens, $0 if it does not. The price of a contract, somewhere between 0 and 100 cents, is the market's live estimate of how likely that outcome is.

As the probability the market currently gives the outcome. Traders are paying 54 cents for a contract that pays $1 if it happens. Someone who believes the true chance is higher buys Yes; someone who believes it is lower buys No.

Polymarket and Kalshi. The mechanics are the same on both; the guides point out where the two differ, from settlement rules and fees to which events each one lists. The scanner shows the two prices side by side.

No. The guides, the glossary and the market scanner are open to everyone. A free account adds followed events, a weekly digest and a practice-trading desk.

The practice desk uses live market prices and simulated funds, so a strategy can be tested against real markets without money at stake. Nothing is bought or sold on any platform.

A guide explains how something works and stays useful for months: how contracts settle, how to read an order book, how to hedge a business risk. An event page follows one live topic and its markets as they move. Guides link to the event pages where the mechanics show up in practice.