Skip to content
Skip to content
Chironus.
Climate & WeatherBeginner

Drought basics: the types, the D0 to D4 scale, and the worst US droughts

September 27, 20266 min read

Key takeaways

  • Drought is a slow onset disaster and is caused by below normal rainfall over a prolonged period.
  • Drought affects vegetation, crops, livestock, humans, and eventually the economy.
  • Drought severity is typically measured on a five-tier classification scale (ranging from D0 to D4) based on the U.S. Drought Monitor framework, which is also adapted internationally.

On this page

Drought is a slow onset disaster and is caused by below normal rainfall over a prolonged period. Besides rainfall, other factors such as low soil moisture, irregular stream flow, less accessibility of groundwater or canal water supply and higher evapotranspiration (ET) increase the intensity of drought. Droughts are recurring events that can disturb large areas, continuing for either a period of a few weeks or lasting up to several years. Drought affects vegetation, crops, livestock, humans, and eventually the economy.

Types of drought.

Drought is classified into four types based on how water availability impacts the environment and society, i.e., Meteorological, Hydrological, Agricultural and Socioeconomic. The first three deal with ways to measure drought as a physical phenomenon. The last deals with drought in terms of supply and demand, tracking the effects of water shortfall as it ripples through socioeconomic systems.

  • Meteorological drought is a prolonged period of significantly below-average precipitation. In regions with year-round precipitation, it may be defined by the number of days when precipitation falls below a specified threshold. Other definitions compare actual precipitation with long-term averages over monthly, seasonal, or annual periods.
  • Hydrological drought is associated with the effects of periods of precipitation shortfalls (including snowfall) on surface or subsurface water supply (i.e., streamflow, reservoir and lake levels, groundwater). Hydrological droughts are usually out of phase with or lag the occurrence of meteorological and agricultural droughts. It takes longer for precipitation deficiencies to show up in components of the hydrological system such as soil moisture, streamflow, groundwater and reservoir levels.
  • Agricultural drought links various characteristics of meteorological (or hydrological) drought to agricultural impacts, focusing on precipitation shortages, differences between actual and potential evapotranspiration, soil water deficits, reduced groundwater or reservoir levels needed for irrigation.
  • Socioeconomic drought occurs when the supply and demand of goods or access to the public water supply exceeds the available supply due to weather-related shortages. This can lead to water rationing, higher food prices or energy shortages from diminished hydroelectric power.

More recently a new drought designation has been added. Ecological drought is a temporary water shortage that pushes natural ecosystems past their limits of survival, harming wildlife and disrupting the services people get from nature. Unlike traditional droughts that only measure a lack of rain or low river levels, ecological drought focuses on how water deficits damage plants, animals, and entire landscapes. Some impacts of ecological drought are dry conditions fuel severe wildfires and spark massive insect outbreaks, rivers run too warm or slow, killing fish and driving local species to extinction, and damage to nature reduces the clean water, food security, and carbon storage that human communities rely on.

How drought is measured.

Meteorological, hydrological, and agricultural droughts are often represented with drought indices, some examples are Standard Precipitation Index (SPI), Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI), Palmer Hydrological Drought Severity Index (PHDI), Streamflow Drought Index (SDI), Enhanced Vegetation Index (EVI), and Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI)

Drought severity is typically measured on a five-tier classification scale (ranging from D0 to D4) based on the U.S. Drought Monitor framework, which is also adapted internationally.

D0 (Abnormally Dry)

Short-term dryness that slows plant and crop growth or causes lingering water deficits, technically it’s a pre-drought rather than a full drought.

D1 (Moderate Drought)

Some damage to crops and pastures occurs; streams, reservoirs, or wells are low, and voluntary water restrictions may be requested.

D2 (Severe Drought)

Crop or pasture losses are likely, water shortages become common, and mandatory or standard water restrictions are imposed.

D3 (Extreme Drought)

Major agricultural losses occur alongside widespread water shortages or strict restrictions.

D4 (Exceptional Drought)

The most intense level, causing widespread, exceptional crop/pasture destruction and severe water emergencies in streams, wells, and reservoirs.

Get alerts on Weather markets. Set it up free in 30 seconds.

The worst droughts in US history.

The four worst droughts in US history were:

  • The Dust Bowl (1930s) which covered most of the Western states and lasted at least four years.1NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, "A Historical Perspective on Drought," ncei.noaa.gov, August 20192National Drought Mitigation Center (University of Nebraska-Lincoln), "The Dust Bowl," drought.unl.edu, accessed September 2026
  • The Texas/Southern Plains Drought (1950-1957) was the worst drought in Texas history and led to many farm foreclosures and bankruptcies.3NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, "A Historical Perspective on Drought," ncei.noaa.gov, August 20194Texas State Historical Association (Handbook of Texas, Roy Sylvan Dunn), "The History and Impact of Droughts in Texas," tshaonline.org, October 2020 (last revised)
  • The Midwest Drought (1988-1989) destroyed 30% of the US corn crop, parts of the Mississippi shrank to a “trickle.”5U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, "Impact of the drought on corn exports: paying the price (Beyond the Numbers)," bls.gov, November 2012
  • The Plains/Midwest Drought (2011-2012) where 80% of US agricultural land experienced drought conditions and over 70% of the nation's crop and livestock production sat in moderate or worse drought zones.6USDA Economic Research Service (archived copy hosted by NDMC), "U.S. Drought 2012: Farm and Food Impacts," drought.unl.edu, 2012 to 2013 (archived copy printed November 2015)

Climate change and drought.

Climate change increases the odds of worsening drought in many parts of the United States and the world.7Center for Climate and Energy Solutions, "Drought and Climate Change," c2es.org, accessed September 20268U.S. Geological Survey, "Droughts and Climate Change," usgs.gov, accessed September 2026 Regions such as the U.S. Southwest, where droughts are expected to get more frequent, intense, and longer lasting, are at particular risk.9Center for Climate and Energy Solutions, "Drought and Climate Change," c2es.org, accessed September 202610U.S. Geological Survey, "Droughts and Climate Change," usgs.gov, accessed September 2026

Sources & References

  • 1
    NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, "A Historical Perspective on Drought," ncei.noaa.gov, August 2019
  • 2
    National Drought Mitigation Center (University of Nebraska-Lincoln), "The Dust Bowl," drought.unl.edu, accessed September 2026
  • 3
    NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, "A Historical Perspective on Drought," ncei.noaa.gov, August 2019
  • 4
    Texas State Historical Association (Handbook of Texas, Roy Sylvan Dunn), "The History and Impact of Droughts in Texas," tshaonline.org, October 2020 (last revised)
  • 5
    U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, "Impact of the drought on corn exports: paying the price (Beyond the Numbers)," bls.gov, November 2012
  • 6
    USDA Economic Research Service (archived copy hosted by NDMC), "U.S. Drought 2012: Farm and Food Impacts," drought.unl.edu, 2012 to 2013 (archived copy printed November 2015)
  • 7
    Center for Climate and Energy Solutions, "Drought and Climate Change," c2es.org, accessed September 2026
  • 8
    U.S. Geological Survey, "Droughts and Climate Change," usgs.gov, accessed September 2026
  • 9
    Center for Climate and Energy Solutions, "Drought and Climate Change," c2es.org, accessed September 2026
  • 10
    U.S. Geological Survey, "Droughts and Climate Change," usgs.gov, accessed September 2026

More in Climate & Weather.

Climate & Weather
Climate & Weather

Severe Storm Basics: Tornadoes, Hail and Wind

Tornado ratings, how severe thunderstorms form, the seasonal pattern, and the records.

Beginner8 min read
Climate & Weather
Climate & Weather

Earthquake Basics: Faults, Magnitude and US Risk

Faults, magnitude, the largest US earthquakes, and California's 30-year odds.

Beginner7 min read
Climate & Weather
Climate & Weather

Hurricane Basics: How They Form and Are Rated

How hurricanes form, how they are rated, when the seasons run, and what drives their strength.

Beginner7 min read

Recent Climate & Weather event pages.

Heat and temperature predictions 2026: heat waves, record heat, and what causes them
Climate & Weather

2026 Heat & Temperature Predictions: Hottest Year Markets

Live market prices on 2026 heat and temperature records: the hottest year, daily city highs, heat domes, Arctic sea ice, and atmospheric CO2, set against NASA, NOAA, and NSIDC data.

Pandemic predictions 2026: what counts as one, will there be another, and hantavirus
Climate & Weather

Pandemic Markets 2026: Bird Flu, Measles & Ebola Predictions

A large Ebola outbreak is a declared emergency that WHO says is not a pandemic. See how a pandemic actually gets declared, the record since 2000, and the live markets pricing bird flu, measles, and Ebola.

Earthquake and volcano predictions 2026: causes, forecasting, and live tracking
Climate & Weather

Earthquake & Volcano Predictions: Live Market Prices

Live market prices on earthquakes and volcanic eruptions, set against the science: worldwide magnitude 7.0+ counts, megaquake and regional risk, and VEI 4+ eruption markets.

Join the community.

Last updated